Why IonQ Could Be the Best Quantum Computing Stock To Buy

The U.S. government is reportedly in talks to take equity stakes in leading quantum computing companies, including IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum, as part of a broader national security initiative. This move aims to strengthen America’s position in frontier technologies amid increasing global competition.

### Market Reaction and Stock Volatility

Following the news, shares of all three companies experienced significant gains. IonQ stock, in particular, has seen extreme volatility in recent weeks. The company’s shares surged to around $82 in mid-October after J.P. Morgan Chase announced a $10 billion investment program targeting 27 strategically important industries, including quantum computing. However, the stock then dropped nearly 30% within days as investors locked in profits amid broader market concerns about banking sector stresses and rising gold prices, which pushed traders away from high-risk tech stocks.

By late October, IonQ shares had slid back toward the mid-$50 range before the reports of potential government investment reignited investor interest.

### Government Denial and Industry Outlook

A U.S. Department of Commerce official has denied that such equity talks are underway. Nonetheless, the media reports have reignited enthusiasm around the quantum computing sector. Top investor George Budwell, ranked among the top 1% of stock professionals by TipRanks, remains bullish on IonQ, calling it “the quantum play to bet on” should government backing materialize. Budwell emphasizes that government support typically favors companies closest to deployment readiness, a position he believes IonQ holds.

### IonQ’s Technical Advantages

IonQ recently achieved a record-breaking algorithmic qubit score of #AQ 64 ahead of schedule, a key metric measuring the complexity of problems a quantum computer can reliably solve. The company reports approximately 99.99% 2-qubit gate fidelity, meaning operations execute correctly 9,999 times out of 10,000.

This high fidelity is achieved using IonQ’s trapped-ion technology, which operates without requiring extreme cryogenic conditions, setting it apart from competitors employing other quantum computing approaches. The superior accuracy allows IonQ’s systems to chain together more operations before errors accumulate, enhancing overall computational power.

### Cloud Accessibility and Commercial Progress

IonQ’s quantum hardware is accessible through major cloud platforms including Amazon Web Services Braket, Microsoft Azure Quantum, and Google Cloud Marketplace. This widespread cloud availability enables enterprises to experiment with quantum workloads without the need for in-house infrastructure development.

Financially, IonQ has demonstrated strong growth. The company reported $20.7 million in revenue in its most recent quarter, marking an 82% increase year-over-year and surpassing company guidance.

Additionally, IonQ has partnered with the Electric Power Board (EPB) of Chattanooga on a $22 million quantum hub initiative. EPB will host one of IonQ’s systems and collaborate on grid optimization projects. IonQ is also opening a new local office in Chattanooga to support training and customer engagement.

### Institutional Confidence and Analyst Ratings

Amazon recently disclosed a $36.7 million stake in IonQ, signaling growing institutional confidence in the company’s technology and business model. George Budwell highlights IonQ’s competitive edge, noting its best-in-class cloud availability and established enterprise pathways among pure-play quantum companies. He asserts, “If the government takes a stake or procurements follow, customers and talent would gravitate toward the perceived winner.”

Wall Street analysts maintain a Strong Buy consensus rating on IonQ stock. Currently, six analysts recommend buying the stock, two suggest holding, and none recommend selling.

### Risks and Future Outlook

Despite the optimism, Budwell cautions that the development of scaled, fault-tolerant quantum solutions remains years away. The technology still faces significant challenges before achieving commercial-scale deployment.

Furthermore, while government investment discussions have sparked excitement, there is no guarantee that such support materializes.

In summary, IonQ presents a compelling opportunity in the quantum computing sector, supported by strong technical achievements, strategic partnerships, and increasing institutional backing. However, investors should remain mindful of the inherent risks and the nascent stage of the technology.
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