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VCs pour $5.1B into crypto firms while Bitcoin’s ‘Uptober’ whiffed

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October closed roughly 4% down for Bitcoin, yet venture funding hit $5.1 billion in the same month, marking the second-strongest month since 2022. According to CryptoRank data, three mega-deals account for most of this funding, as October defied its own seasonal mythology.

Bitcoin fell 3.7% during a month traders have nicknamed “Uptober” for its historical winning streak, breaking a pattern that had held since 2019. Yet, venture capitalists deployed $5.1 billion into crypto startups during the same 31 days, marking the second-highest monthly total since 2022 and the best VC performance of 2025 aside from March.

The divergence between spot market weakness and venture market strength creates a puzzle. Either builders see opportunities that traders have missed, or a handful of enormous checks have distorted the overall signal.

### Concentration of Funding: The Big Three Deals

The concentration of funding tells most of the story. Three transactions account for roughly $2.8 billion of October’s total $5.1 billion:

– Intercontinental Exchange’s (ICE) strategic investment of up to $2 billion in Polymarket
– Tempo’s $500 million Series A round led by Stripe and Paradigm
– Kalshi’s $300 million Series D round

CryptoRank’s monthly data shows 180 disclosed funding rounds in October, indicating that the top three transactions account for 54% of the total capital deployed across fewer than 2% of deals. The median round size likely remains in the single-digit millions.

Removing Polymarket, Tempo, and Kalshi from the calculation would shift the narrative from the “best month in years” to a steady but unspectacular continuation of 2024’s modest pace.

The “venture rebound” narrative depends heavily on whether these strategic acquisition plays and infrastructure bets represent broader builder confidence or are simply outliers that happened to close in the same reporting window.

### Why Spot Traders Sold While VCs Wrote Checks

Bitcoin’s October weakness stemmed from profit-taking following September’s gains, macroeconomic headwinds from rising Treasury yields, and continued ETF outflows that began mid-month and accelerated through the final week.

Although Bitcoin ETFs registered nearly $3.4 billion in net inflows, Farside Investors’ daily flow data shows heavy redemptions from major spot Bitcoin products, particularly in the final ten trading days.

Venture capital operates on a different timeline. The firms deploying capital in October committed to thesis-driven positions months earlier. The actual cash transfer and announcement timing reflect legal processes and strategic coordination rather than spot market sentiment.

For example, Polymarket’s $2 billion investment from ICE doesn’t reflect a bet on Bitcoin’s November price. Instead, it reflects ICE’s view that prediction markets represent a multi-billion-dollar addressable market, where first-mover advantage and regulatory positioning matter more than token price action.

Similarly, Tempo’s $500 million round funds stablecoin and payment infrastructure aimed at enterprise adoption. These revenue-generating products’ success metrics don’t directly correlate with whether Bitcoin trades at $100,000, $60,000, or $40,000.

Kalshi’s $300 million raise operates in comparable territory. The CFTC-regulated prediction market platform competes with Polymarket and traditional derivatives venues. Its valuation has jumped to $5 billion based on transaction volume growth and a regulatory moat rather than crypto market timing.

### Infrastructure, Compliance, and Institutional Use Cases

The three largest October deals share a common thread: they target infrastructure, compliance, and institutional use cases where crypto serves as plumbing rather than speculation.

This focus explains why venture activity can surge while retail traders exit the market. VCs are placing their bets on the decade-long buildout of financial infrastructure, not the next quarter’s price movement.

### Risks in Mega-Deal Concentration

Concentration creates fragility. If Polymarket faces regulatory headwinds, or if Tempo’s enterprise pipeline develops more slowly than projected, two of October’s flagship deals could mark peak valuations rather than validated milestones.

The same concentration that inflated October’s headline number makes the sector vulnerable to downward revisions if those few large bets stumble.

### Timing and Strategic Opportunism

ICE announced its Polymarket investment days before the US mayoral elections, positioning the platform to capitalize on record prediction market volume. That timing reflects strategic opportunism, as ICE bought into heightened visibility and user growth. However, it raises questions about sustained engagement if election-driven volume returns to normal.

Kalshi’s $300 million round came amid similar election-related momentum. Both deals may prove prescient if prediction markets sustain post-election activity, or they may represent peak-hype pricing if volumes crater once binary political events resolve.

### Looking Ahead

If October’s pattern holds—with weak retail participation, rotating institutional interest, and concentrated infrastructure bets—the winners won’t be the projects that capture speculative frenzy. Instead, success will go to platforms that become utility layers institutions cannot avoid.
https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/bitcoin/vcs-pour-5-1b-into-crypto-firms-while-bitcoins-uptober-whiffed/

Great Deals For All: Check Out the Best Crypto Presales to Buy as Bitcoin Slides to $104K

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Bitcoin’s (TC) Price Drops Sharply After Breaking Key Support at $106K

Bitcoin’s price slid sharply today after breaking the critical support level at $106,000. This decline pushed the crypto market deep into the ‘Fear’ territory, according to CoinMarketCap’s Fear and Greed Index.

For opportunistic traders, however, the current downturn presents the perfect opportunity to scout for the best crypto presales, such as Bitcoin Hyper (YPER) and Best Wallet Token (EST). These token presales have shown regular price increases, offering steady and reliable upside even in a down market.

Key Support Breaks and Weak Tech Stocks Trigger Bitcoin Drop

As reported by CoinDesk, Bitcoin fell below $106,000 during Asian trading hours, breaking a vital support level and placing the market firmly in CoinMarketCap’s Fear zone. The next key support at $100,000 will be crucial. According to Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, a drop below $100,000 could push BTC’s price further down to $85,000.

Adding to Bitcoin’s woes are signs of weakening tech stocks, particularly the so-called “Magnificent 7”: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, and Tesla. The current overexuberance in these stocks no longer reflects market fundamentals, leading to inflated prices that could burst and trigger widespread market panic.

Despite this, the situation creates an ideal buying opportunity for traders seeking discounted assets. Those searching for low-cap tokens with high upside potential may want to consider the following promising presales:

1. Bitcoin Hyper (YPER)
Adding Speed, Low Cost, and Utility to the Bitcoin Ecosystem

Bitcoin remains a must-have in every trader’s portfolio, but it has its flaws—namely slow and costly transactions compared to Solana and limited utility beyond being a store of value. Bitcoin Hyper (YPER) aims to address these issues with its Layer 2 (L2) network built on a Solana Virtual Machine.

Bitcoin Hyper will bring Solana-level transaction speeds and low fees to the Bitcoin ecosystem. It includes a canonical bridge that allows users to transfer their BTC from the base chain to the L2, enabling staking, trading, interaction with dApps, and more.

Its native YPER token will be used to pay transaction fees on the L2. Holding YPER also grants governance rights and access to exclusive features. The token presale is live—simply connect your crypto wallet and purchase using credit/debit cards or crypto.

Each YPER token costs just $0.013215 and can be staked to earn 46% annual rewards. Having already raised over $25.7 million to date, Bitcoin Hyper stands out as one of 2025’s most promising new cryptocurrencies. Act fast, as a new price increase is scheduled soon.

Invest in Bitcoin’s fast lane—join the Bitcoin Hyper (YPER) presale today.

2. Best Wallet Token (EST)
Powering One of the Market’s Latest Secure and User-Friendly Wallets

This year has shown that the crypto market is maturing. While meme coins persist, investors increasingly favor projects with genuine utility. Best Wallet Token (EST) is a prime example.

As the native token of the Best Wallet, holding EST offers lower transaction fees, governance rights to vote on project decisions, and early access to presales on the Token Launchpad.

The EST presale is currently live and has raised $16.8 million so far. Each EST token costs only $0.025895—a bargain considering the benefits. You can also stake EST to earn 78% annual rewards.

The Best Wallet app is a non-custodial, highly secure option, where only you control your private keys. Its user-friendly interface works on both iOS and Android devices, making it highly accessible—even for new users.

For step-by-step instructions, check out our Best Wallet Token buying guide. The presale ends on November 28, so don’t miss your chance to get in early.

3. Milk Mocha Token (UGS)
Unlocking Exclusive Perks Within the Milk Mocha Community

Milk and Mocha are adorable bears created by Indonesian artist Melani Sie in 2016. These beloved characters have entered the crypto space with the Milk Mocha Token (UGS) presale.

UGS tokens offer many utilities within the Milk Mocha metaverse: enhancing gameplay in token-powered mini-games, buying NFTs, gaining governance rights, and staking for rewards. Additionally, a portion of presale proceeds will support charities selected by the community.

The presale features 40 rounds of price increases. Currently in round 1, there’s ample opportunity for your investment to appreciate. The team plans to list UGS on centralized and decentralized exchanges, potentially boosting its value further.

Exciting bonuses accompany each price increase stage. For instance, at this initial stage, the top three UGS buyers will share 175 million bonus tokens. The top buyer alone will receive 99,750,000 UGS—valued at nearly $20,000 at today’s price.

You can purchase UGS for only $0.0002 per token. The presale widget supports multiple chains and payment methods, letting you buy easily with your preferred cryptocurrency.

Learn more by reading the Milk Mocha whitepaper.

Conclusion

While Bitcoin’s recent price drop signals caution, it also opens the door for promising new opportunities. Early-stage presales like Bitcoin Hyper (YPER), Best Wallet Token (EST), and Milk Mocha Token (UGS) offer compelling use cases, attractive staking rewards, and potential for price growth ahead of their official launches.

If you’re seeking to capitalize on the current market dip, consider exploring these presales to secure tokens at discounted prices before the next price increase.

**Disclaimer:** Always do your own research. This article does not constitute investment advice.
https://bitcoinist.com/best-crypto-presales-to-buy-bitcoin-drops-to-104k/

Is the Bitcoin price heading for its worst Q4 since 2022?

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**Can Bitcoin Price Recover Its Momentum After October’s Reversal, or Will Q4 Extend Its Weakest Run Since 2022?**

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### Bitcoin Price Breaks the Uptober Streak

Bitcoin entered October with confidence, extending a powerful rally that lifted prices to a record high above $126,000 on October 6. However, what followed was a sharp and sudden pullback. Within days, prices dropped more than 17%, reaching about $104,500 between October 10 and 11. The month closed with Bitcoin (BTC) down roughly 3.6%, marking its first negative October since 2018.

As of November 3, Bitcoin trades near $108,000, around 14.5% below its monthly peak.

The decline stemmed from several interconnected global developments:

– The U.S.-China trade confrontation intensified after Washington imposed 100% tariffs and introduced new restrictions on software exports. This move sparked heavy liquidations across crypto markets and dampened investor risk appetite.
– At the same time, the Federal Reserve signaled that it may slow the pace of interest rate cuts. This stance strengthened the dollar and increased the appeal of yield-bearing assets, putting additional pressure on Bitcoin, which produces neither interest nor dividends.

Another key factor is Bitcoin’s deeper integration with traditional finance. In past cycles, Bitcoin often moved independently of global markets. Today, institutional trading, ETF flows, and broader macro sentiment shape its direction far more than retail activity alone.

As a result, 2025 broke the “Uptober” streak. Bitcoin is down nearly 6% in Q4 so far, turning what is usually a positive month for crypto into its weakest start since 2022.

The question now is: what lies ahead as the market moves deeper into November and the rest of Q4?

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### Trade Truce Meets Tight Liquidity

Early November brought what appeared to be relief for global markets.

During a summit in South Korea, U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping reached a broad trade-truce framework that marks a partial de-escalation of the trade war that had intensified earlier this year.

Key points of the agreement include:

– China will begin lifting its export ban on automotive computer chips, including components critical to car production worldwide, addressing a major bottleneck that had disrupted global manufacturing chains.
– The two sides agreed on U.S. soybean exports, with China committing to purchase 12 million metric tons this season and 25 million tons annually for the next three years.
– Cooperation will also involve the supply of rare earth minerals and precursor materials used in the production of the drug fentanyl.
– The U.S. reduced tariffs on Chinese goods from 57% to 47%, while China agreed to delay export restrictions on rare earths, gallium, and germanium for one year.

Despite the political optics of progress, China’s manufacturing sector continues to struggle. The country’s October manufacturing PMI stood at 49, extending its contraction streak to seven months and pointing to lingering weaknesses in global demand and production.

In the U.S., the Federal Reserve moved slightly toward monetary easing, cutting its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% range at its October 28-29 meeting. This decision came as unemployment inched up from 4.0% to 4.3%, while inflation remained around 3% year on year.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that future policy remains data dependent, and markets now expect a 70% chance of a further rate cut in December.

A parallel move came from the U.S. central bank’s liquidity operations. On October 31, the Federal Reserve injected $29.4 billion through overnight repo operations — its largest since 2020.

For Bitcoin and the broader crypto markets, greater liquidity, reduced tariffs, and easing trade tensions theoretically create a supportive backdrop. However, real recovery depends on whether supply chains and credit conditions stabilize enough to renew investor confidence.

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### The Verdict That Could Shake Bitcoin

The next major test for global markets, and indirectly for Bitcoin, is set to unfold at the U.S. Supreme Court.

On November 5, the Trump administration will face challenges from small businesses and several U.S. states over the legality of tariffs imposed earlier this year under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act.

The plaintiffs argue that the president exceeded his constitutional authority since the law allows regulation of trade during emergencies but does not explicitly authorize tariffs.

The court’s decision is expected sometime between March and June 2026.

The case involves roughly $90 billion in import taxes already collected through September 2025, according to Wells Fargo estimates. However, administration officials warn that this figure could swell to as much as $1 trillion if the court takes until June 2026 to decide and tariffs remain in place throughout that period.

**Potential outcomes:**

– Should the court rule against the administration, those tariffs could be invalidated and refunds ordered, potentially disrupting fiscal balances and triggering volatility in the dollar and equities.
– If the decision favors the White House, it would cement the executive branch’s ability to impose or adjust tariffs unilaterally, giving the U.S. president far greater flexibility in trade negotiations.

For Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, this legal showdown presents a complex scenario.

Once celebrated for moving independently of traditional markets, Bitcoin now behaves much more like a macro-linked instrument. Over the past several years, Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite has risen sharply, especially during periods of policy-driven volatility.

– If the Supreme Court outcome disrupts confidence in U.S. trade policy or weakens the dollar, risk assets could see renewed speculative inflows, temporarily supporting crypto prices.
– Conversely, a ruling that strengthens executive control and stabilizes the dollar could pressure Bitcoin, as investors move back toward traditional safe assets.

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### Analyst Outlook and Bitcoin’s Next Move

Market sentiment remains divided on where Bitcoin heads next.

Analyst Ted Pillows noted that Bitcoin has now tested its $107,500 support level for the third or fourth time in just two weeks — a pattern often seen before a decisive breakout or breakdown. He warned that failure to hold this range could open the door for a retest of $100,000, which has served as Bitcoin’s psychological and technical base for much of 2025.

The repeated tests suggest buying strength around $107,000 is weakening, while short-term volatility could rise sharply if that level gives way.

On a more macro level, analyst PlanB, known for the stock-to-flow model, highlighted that Bitcoin closed October at $109,000, marking six straight months above $100,000. He views this range as solidifying long-term support rather than forming a short-term ceiling.

According to his model:

– Bitcoin’s realized price currently sits near $56,000.
– The 55-day moving average is roughly $55,000.

PlanB believes these levels form a structural floor reminiscent of early bull markets in 2013, 2017, and 2021. He also noted that Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 66, signaling a strong uptrend but not yet in the overheated zone that has historically preceded market tops.

Based on his stock-to-flow projections, Bitcoin’s fair value range lies between $250,000 and $1 million, though he acknowledged wide uncertainty around timing and peaks.

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### Conclusion

The bullish camp believes the absence of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and the steady divergence between realized price and moving average point toward another expansion phase. Meanwhile, the bearish view argues Bitcoin may have already peaked at $126,000 following the halving cycle.

Overall, Bitcoin’s near-term direction depends heavily on whether the $107,000 to $108,000 zone holds. A breakdown below could trigger a sharper correction, while stability above that level could set up the next leg higher.

For now, markets remain heated. Proceed with caution and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/bitcoin/is-the-bitcoin-price-heading-for-its-worst-q4-since-2022/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=is-the-bitcoin-price-heading-for-its-worst-q4-since-2022

Why Is the Crypto Market Down Today, On Nov 3?

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**Why Is the Crypto Market Down Today, On Nov 3?**

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major altcoins experienced significant declines of over 10%, resulting in more than $400 million in liquidations within just 24 hours. But what’s really driving this sudden downturn? Let’s take a closer look.

### Fed Official Hints at No Further Rate Cut

One of the main reasons behind today’s drop is renewed caution from the U.S. Federal Reserve. After cutting rates by 25 basis points in October, Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that another rate cut in December isn’t “a foregone conclusion.” This statement boosted the U.S. dollar and dampened investor sentiment across markets.

Adding to the cautious outlook, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that tight monetary policies have already slowed parts of the economy, leaving limited room for additional rate cuts. Reflecting this sentiment, the FedWatch Tool now shows the probability of another rate cut has fallen to 69.3%, highlighting growing doubts about further policy easing.

### Bitcoin ETFs See Billions in Outflows

Adding to the market pressure, Bitcoin ETFs continue to experience heavy outflows. Recent data from Fairside reveals that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.15 billion in withdrawals last week alone.

The largest outflows came from funds managed by BlackRock, ARK Invest, and Fidelity, suggesting that investors are pulling back from Bitcoin-linked financial products amid the current volatility.

### Long Liquidations Deepen the Sell-Off

The fall of Bitcoin below $107,500 triggered a chain reaction of long liquidations worth nearly $400 million, wiping out over 162,000 traders in a single day.

Bitcoin alone saw $74.6 million in long positions liquidated, while Ethereum accounted for $85.6 million. This rapid wave of liquidations has intensified the downward momentum.

Analysts now warn that if Bitcoin breaks below $106,000, another wave of liquidations — potentially worth $6 billion — could follow, which may deepen the sell-off further.

### Altcoins Hit Harder Than Bitcoin

Altcoins suffered even steeper losses, with the top 50 tokens falling nearly 4% in a single day. Bitcoin’s dominance climbed to 60.15%, indicating that traders are moving toward safer assets amid the market turmoil.

Specifically, Ethereum dropped 4.4% to $3,734, XRP fell 3.38%, and BNB slipped 4.8% to $1,039. However, Uniswap and Dogecoin were among the worst performers, losing 9% and 6.9% respectively.

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The combination of shifting Fed policies, significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, and cascading liquidations has created a challenging environment for cryptocurrencies today. Market participants will be watching closely for further developments, especially any moves by the Federal Reserve or key support levels on Bitcoin.
https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/crypto/why-is-the-crypto-market-down-today-on-nov-3/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=why-is-the-crypto-market-down-today-on-nov-3

Bitcoin Slips Below 200-Day SMA, Bear Signal or Buy Zone?

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Bitcoin (TC) is currently facing a critical scenario as its price struggles for a breakout. Specifically, Bitcoin’s price is hovering below its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), a key technical indicator closely watched by traders and analysts.

According to data shared by renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez on social media, this downturn could signal the beginning of a bear market. However, it might also present a notable buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on potential price movements.

### Bitcoin’s Consolidation Below 200-Day SMA Sparks Debate

The current situation, with Bitcoin (TC) teetering below its 200-day SMA, has sparked debate within the crypto community. On one hand, this technical setup could offer traders a robust buying opportunity ahead of the next potential price rally. On the other hand, there is no guarantee of an imminent breakout, and it could just as well mark the start of a prolonged bear market.

Given these contrasting possibilities, traders and market observers are keenly watching Bitcoin’s price action to determine the likely outcome.

### Traders Await Clear Signal Amid Bull-Bear Battleground

Ali Martinez emphasizes that Bitcoin’s struggle below the 200-day SMA reflects a significant tug of war between bulls and bears. This battle creates uncertainty, with the market poised to move decisively in either direction.

Ultimately, whether Bitcoin (TC) will capitalize on this moment as a buying opportunity or fall deeper into a bear market remains to be seen. Traders are advised to stay alert and watch for clear signals before making major moves.

The coming days and weeks will be crucial in defining Bitcoin’s short- to mid-term trend, impacting trader sentiment and market dynamics alike.
https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/bitcoin/bitcoin-slips-below-200-day-sma-bear-signal-or-buy-zone/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=bitcoin-slips-below-200-day-sma-bear-signal-or-buy-zone

Crypto Market Turns Cautious in November 2025 — What’s Behind the Bearish Shift?

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November 2025 begins with the crypto market sending mixed signals. Bitcoin hovers around $110K, Ethereum struggles below $4K, and nearly every top-ranked cryptocurrency is flashing “Sell” or “Strong Sell” on technical charts. Is this a warning of a coming downturn, or simply a healthy cooldown after months of rallying? Let’s examine the global and technical factors shaping this cautious phase and what it could mean for traders this month.

### Macro & Monetary Headwinds

The biggest weight on sentiment right now is the Federal Reserve’s uncertain policy path. After a modest rate cut earlier this quarter, Fed officials have hinted that further easing may not come in December. That hesitation has strengthened the U.S. dollar and lifted Treasury yields—a combination that usually drains liquidity from risk assets including crypto.

This “higher-for-longer” scenario encourages investors to take profits and park capital in stablecoins or cash positions until clarity returns.

### U.S.-China Trade Developments and Tech Rotation

Recent progress in U.S.-China trade talks has sparked optimism across the semiconductor and AI sectors. With major U.S. chipmakers signaling renewed access to Chinese markets and onshoring manufacturing back to America, investors are rotating heavily into AI-linked equities.

This rotation has short-term consequences for digital assets. As capital flows into tech stocks, crypto loses speculative volume—not because confidence is gone, but because attention has shifted temporarily to traditional markets.

### Post-Rally Exhaustion Across Top Coins

Bitcoin’s climb above $110K marked a psychological ceiling, prompting many traders to secure profits. Altcoins such as Solana (-1.4%), BNB (-1.4%), Cardano (-2.2%), and Dogecoin (-1.9%) are showing similar fatigue. Even Hyperliquid (-6%) and Chainlink (-0.2%) reflect mild selling pressure.

This suggests the pullback is broad-based, not isolated. Technical indicators confirm this: RSI levels have cooled, MACD lines are flattening, and volume data points to rebalancing rather than panic. It’s a classic mid-cycle cooldown, not a crash.

### Institutional Reallocation and Stablecoin Inflows

While prices consolidate, stablecoin demand is quietly rising. USDT, USDC, and USDe now make up nearly 3% of the total market capitalization, hinting that traders are holding liquidity on the sidelines, ready to re-enter when volatility subsides.

Historically, this pattern often precedes renewed accumulation, as institutions prefer to wait for technical confirmation before returning to risk assets.

### Regional Expansion: Middle East Adoption Grows

[Content on Middle East adoption expansion can be added here if available.]

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In summary, November 2025 marks a period of cautious consolidation for the crypto market. Influenced by macroeconomic headwinds, sector rotations, and profit-taking, traders should stay alert but not alarmed—this phase may pave the way for the next leg up once uncertainty clears.
https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/crypto/crypto-market-turns-cautious-in-november-2025-whats-behind-the-bearish-shift/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=crypto-market-turns-cautious-in-november-2025-whats-behind-the-bearish-shift

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Is Kiyosaki’s Crash Warning the Catalyst for a Major BTC Price Movement?

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Robert Kiyosaki Warns of a “Massive Crash,” Yet Bitcoin Holds $110K Support

Renowned investor Robert Kiyosaki has recently issued a warning about an impending “massive crash” in the financial markets. Despite this cautionary outlook, Bitcoin continues to demonstrate resilience by maintaining support around the $110,000 level.

Is This Fear-Driven Caution a Setup for BTC’s Next Big Move?

Kiyosaki’s bearish perspective has stirred significant discussion among investors and crypto enthusiasts alike. However, Bitcoin’s ability to hold strong at key support levels suggests that the market may be positioning itself for a major price movement—potentially fueled by the very fear Kiyosaki highlights.

As the crypto community watches closely, the question remains: will Bitcoin’s price react to this warning and trigger a breakout, or will it consolidate further before making its next move?

Stay tuned for more updates and in-depth analysis on Bitcoin’s price action and market trends.

*The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Is Kiyosaki’s Crash Warning the Catalyst for a Major BTC Price Movement? appeared first on Cryptonews.*
https://cryptonews.com/news/bitcoin-price-prediction-is-kiyosakis-crash-warning-the-catalyst-for-a-major-btc-price-movement/

Robert Kiyosaki Warns ‘Massive Crash’ Could Wipe Out Millions Soon

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**Robert Kiyosaki Issues Warning of Imminent Global Financial Crash, Advocates Investing in Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum**

Financial author Robert Kiyosaki has sounded a fresh alarm over a potential massive global financial crash that could wipe out millions of investors. In a recent post on the social media platform X, Kiyosaki urged people to protect their wealth by investing in tangible assets such as gold and silver, alongside cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

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### Kiyosaki Predicts Economic Downturn

Kiyosaki believes the global economy faces a significant threat that could hurt millions worldwide. According to him, tangible assets and cryptocurrencies provide better security compared to traditional paper money, which he describes as “paper promises” lacking real value.

He emphasized that holders of precious metals and digital currencies would be better positioned to weather the financial storm. This is not the first time Kiyosaki has issued such warnings; back in October, following U.S. tariff announcements on China, he flagged concerns about the financial system’s vulnerability.

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### Impact of U.S. Tariffs and Cryptocurrency Market Volatility

The introduction of new U.S. tariffs, including a 100% rate, triggered a sharp sell-off in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin prices plummeted from $122,000, wiping out nearly $19 billion in leveraged positions within hours. Kiyosaki cited this extreme volatility as proof of his warnings about the fragility of the financial system.

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### Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Performance

Currently, Bitcoin trades at around $110,079, showing a modest 0.2% gain over the past day but suffering a 7.1% decline over the last month. Similarly, Ethereum has experienced mixed performance — up 0.4% daily but down 12% over the past month. Despite Kiyosaki’s endorsement, both cryptocurrencies continue to demonstrate high volatility, reflecting market uncertainty.

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### Market Reactions and Criticisms

While Kiyosaki steadfastly urges a shift toward hard assets, critics have noted that he has been predicting similar crashes for over a decade without a sustained market collapse materializing. Many traders question the timing and precision of his forecasts, noting that his warnings often align with short-term pullbacks rather than prolonged crises.

Supporting some of Kiyosaki’s concerns, analyst Jonesy compares current market conditions to historical downturns. Jonesy points out that rate cuts have resumed—a pattern that previously preceded crashes in 2000, 2007, and 2020—describing the situation as “history repeating itself” rather than groundless fear.

Investor Avinash Mishra also concurs with the warnings, citing America’s soaring $35 trillion national debt and growing fiscal deficits as signs of financial stress. Since 2020, Mishra has been accumulating silver and Bitcoin as protective measures against economic instability.

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### The Crypto Community’s Perspective

The cryptocurrency community has responded with mixed views. Some advocates, like online commentator Puck, interpret Kiyosaki’s warnings as typical fear-driven narratives that tend to precede market rallies. Puck highlights Bitcoin’s current ability to maintain prices above $110,000 as a sign of resilience despite recent corrections.

“Crashes fuel the next rally,” Puck wrote, expressing confidence in the cryptocurrency market’s strength and contrasting with Kiyosaki’s more cautious stance regarding immediate risks.

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### Ongoing Debate Among Investors

Kiyosaki’s warnings have sparked widespread discussion among financial analysts and cryptocurrency traders, reaching thousands seeking guidance in these uncertain economic times. The debate highlights ongoing tensions between proponents of traditional hard assets and advocates for digital currencies, reflecting differing strategies for risk management and wealth preservation.

As the global economy faces complex challenges, investors continue weighing their options amid signals of both caution and optimism.

—

*Stay tuned for updates on this developing story and insights on safeguarding your investments in volatile markets.*
https://coincentral.com/robert-kiyosaki-warns-massive-crash-could-wipe-out-millions-soon/

U.S. Entities Hold 73% of Global Crypto Treasuries: Details

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Sentora, the on-chain research shop, grabbed attention today when it tweeted that “US entities hold 73% of global crypto treasury value, showing the country’s dominance in the institutional crypto space.” That huge figure, shared as part of the firm’s ongoing crypto treasury coverage, spotlights how concentrated institutional crypto reserves have become around American organizations.

The claim rests on Sentora’s broader Crypto Treasury Tracker, a dashboard the firm maintains that aggregates reserves across public companies, private firms, DAOs, nonprofits, and sovereign wallets. Rather than counting only balance-sheet Bitcoin, the tracker aims to map “all crypto reserves” held by entities, merging asset-level detail with entity-level views so users can see who holds what and in which token.

That methodology helps explain how a single national cohort—US entities—can account for such a large share: it folds together corporate treasuries, exchange reserves, protocol and fund holdings that are legally domiciled or managed within the United States.

### From Corporations to Exchanges

How big are those treasuries overall? Recent estimates peg global institutional crypto reserves in the low hundreds of billions. As of today, Sentora’s Crypto Treasury Tracker puts the total near $241 billion, a figure that has roughly tripled year-over-year as more organizations add digital assets to their balance sheets or keep larger liquid coffers on exchanges and in custodial accounts.

That scale helps put Sentora’s 73% claim into context: if global treasuries number in the mid-hundreds of billions, US entities controlling roughly three-quarters of that pool represent meaningful market power.

Public companies alone already account for very large slices of corporate crypto holdings. CoinGecko’s Bitcoin treasury tracker, which focuses on corporate and government Bitcoin allocations among other assets, lists well over a million BTC held across tracked institutions—a position worth tens or hundreds of billions depending on BTC’s price—and shows how a relatively small set of firms have concentrated exposures.

These corporate balance-sheet allocations are a big part of the institutional narrative. Some companies treat crypto as a strategic hedge or an alternative reserve asset, and that choice drives meaningful flows into the market.

At the front of that corporate wave sits Strategy, the poster child for a corporate Bitcoin treasury strategy. Public filings and reporting show the firm has repeatedly purchased hundreds of thousands of BTC, making it by far the largest corporate holder and a bellwether for the “digital asset treasury company” model that other firms have imitated.

### Implications of US Dominance

The dominance of US entities has several practical implications. Concentration amplifies the influence of a handful of actors on liquidity and market sentiment; regulatory moves or corporate decisions in the United States can ripple through price formation when so much value is parked in domestic hands.

It also raises questions about counterparty, custodial, and jurisdictional risk: when reserves are legally, operationally, or institutionally tied to one regulatory regime, that can simplify compliance on one hand and create single-jurisdiction vulnerabilities on the other.

Sentora’s observation, therefore, matters not only as a statistic but as a prompt to consider how the market will evolve as more corporates, funds, and DAOs professionalize their treasury management.

Not every major treasury is American, of course: sovereign seizures, miners, and foreign corporates hold material amounts, and many protocol treasuries are geographically distributed or multisig-governed. But the trend Sentora highlights—that US entities are disproportionately large holders of institutional crypto value—is a useful lens for understanding where power sits today in digital-asset markets.

It is also useful for anticipating how policy, liquidity, and corporate finance choices made in the United States might continue to shape crypto’s next phase.

For readers interested in digging deeper, Sentora’s tracker lets you break holdings down by entity type and asset class, while other public trackers provide complementary views on corporate Bitcoin treasuries and exchange reserves.

As the numbers continue to shift with new purchases, that map will be essential for anyone trying to read where institutional demand really sits.
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Does a weaker dollar drive Bitcoin price now?

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Bitcoin breached $116,000 for the first time in two weeks, and the usual narrative surfaced: inflation hedge. But the data tells a different story. This cycle, Bitcoin trades less like a consumer-price shield and more like a real-time barometer of dollar liquidity and discount rates. The question isn’t whether Bitcoin hedges inflation, but whether a weaker dollar and falling real yields drive it now. BTC ≠ CPI hedge anymore? The inflation-hedge thesis isn’t wrong, just mistimed. Data suggests that Bitcoin rallied amid liquidity shifts and monetary pivots, not because the Bureau of Labor Statistics printed 3. 1% instead of 3%. CPI measures price levels with a lag. Bitcoin trades forward-looking liquidity and discount rates in real time. Across this cycle, the relationship between Bitcoin and headline inflation weakened while correlations with the dollar index and real yields tightened. A snapshot of directional relationships reveals the shift: PairTypical SignStabilityWhat It ReflectsBTC × CPI (m/m or y/y)Near zero, unstableWeak, flips frequentlyPrints are lagged; policy reaction moves BTC, not the CPI print itselfBTC × DXY (log returns)InverseStrengthens in dollar downtrendsGlobal dollar liquidity channel and cross-border risk appetiteBTC × 10y real yield (DFII10, Δ)InverseTime-varying by regimeHigher real rates tighten conditions; lower real rates ease financial plumbing Current 30-day Pearson correlations show Bitcoin/DXY at approximately -0. 45 and Bitcoin/DFII10 near -0. 38, while Bitcoin/CPI hovers around zero with frequent sign changes. The 90-day window smooths noise but confirms the pattern: Bitcoin responds to the Fed’s reaction function and dollar liquidity conditions, not the inflation print itself. Why USD strength and real yields transmit into BTC Real yields represent the market’s price of money after inflation. When the 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities yield rises, the dollar typically firms, global financial conditions tighten, and long-duration risk assets de-rate. Bitcoin’s funding costs compress, basis trades narrow, and marginal buyers retreat. Conversely, when real yields roll over, the dollar softens, cross-border US dollar scarcity eases, and crypto risk premia shrink. The same plumbing shows up in stablecoin funding rates, market-maker inventories, and the basis between spot, futures, and perpetual swaps. The transmission runs through portfolio allocation decisions at scale. Institutional desks adjust risk exposure based on the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. When real yields climb, cash and short-term Treasuries compete directly with Bitcoin. When real yields decline, competition weakens, and capital rotates into growth and speculative allocations. Real-yield change (bps)Exp. BTC return (%)Indicative BTC (mid)Lower band (±1σ)Upper band (±1σ)−251. 42$231,263$217,731$244,795−501. 35$231,096$217,564$244,628−751. 28$230,928$217,396$244,460 Additionally, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) flows act as an amplifier. Spot Bitcoin ETFs turned macro signals into immediate on-chain demand. Creations pull authorized participants to source coins in size through institutional desks and OTC brokers, while redemptions push inventory back into the market. That flow is contemporaneous with macro impulses: a softer dollar and lower real yields usually coincide with easier risk conditions, making creations more likely and redemptions rarer. Flows don’t cause the macro backdrop, they magnify it. A 25-basis-point drop in DFII10, paired with a 2% decline in DXY, can trigger the creation of baskets worth hundreds of millions as portfolio managers rebalance. The opposite dynamic, consisting of rising reals and a firming dollar, drains liquidity through redemptions and forces spot selling. ETFs converted what used to be a slow, over-the-counter process into a same-day feedback loop between traditional finance investors positioning and crypto spot markets. What flipped when Three standard flip zones define regime changes. First, risk-off dollar surges when everything sells together. Bitcoin’s inverse relationship with DXY weakens toward zero as correlations collapse into a flight-to-safety bid for the US dollar. Second, early easing phases as markets price lower real rates and Fed cuts, and the inverse relationship strengthens, raising Bitcoin’s macro beta role. Third, policy-messaging whipsaws. Around FOMC meetings or CPI beats that shift rate-cut odds, rolling correlations can lurch for weeks before settling into a new regime. The most recent inflection occurred in mid-October, when real yields spiked amid stubborn core inflation data and the DXY rallied through key resistance. Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with DXY flipped from -0. 50 to near zero as both sold off together. By late October, softer payrolls and renewed dovish Fed messaging reversed the move, real yields declined 15 basis points, DXY retreated, and the inverse correlation re-established at -0. 45. That two-week window shows causality running through policy expectations, not inflation prints. Relating ETFs to USD and real yields Weekly spot ETF net flows track dollar and real-yield movements with minimal lag. Weeks with extreme creations of over $500 million typically coincide with DXY falling and DFII10 easing. A simple contemporaneous regression confirms the relationship. Bitcoin weekly returns regress positively on ETF net flows and negatively on changes in DXY and DFII10. The adjusted R² hovers near 0. 35, indicating that roughly one-third of Bitcoin’s weekly variance is directly tied to those three variables. Coefficients drift by regime. During Fed easing cycles, the DXY beta strengthens as dollar weakness signals easier global liquidity. During tightening phases, the real-yield beta dominates as the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin rises. Re-estimating the regression each quarter captures those shifts and keeps the model aligned with current macro conditions. CoinShares reported $921 million of net inflows into digital asset products for the latest week, led by US vehicles, following cooler CPI data. That reversed mid-October’s risk-off stretch when redemptions hit $400 million as DXY rallied and real yields climbed. The swing illustrates how quickly flows respond to macro pivots and why watching the dollar and real yields provides earlier signals than waiting for fund-flow announcements. Scenarios into 2026 and what to expect The base case is that real yields slip by 25 to 50 basis points on softening growth and steady inflation, while the DXY drifts lower. That translates into modestly positive Bitcoin carry, with wider-than-usual confidence bands due to elevated volatility around year-end tax considerations and ETF rebalancing. Path dependence on weekly flows matters, as sustained creations push the range higher, while stalled flows keep Bitcoin rangebound. The upside scenario is a faster policy pivot or growth scare drives real yields down more quickly, DXY breaks trend support, and ETF creations re-accelerate past $1 billion weekly. Bitcoin’s beta to macro rises, spot momentum extends, and the market reprices higher targets as financial conditions ease aggressively. Conversely, a downside scenario: real yields stay sticky or rise on stubborn core inflation, the dollar catches a safe-haven bid, and ETF flows stall or flip negative. Range support breaks lower, volatility picks up, and Bitcoin’s correlation structure collapses as risk-off dominates. A signal to watch out for is real yields holding above 2% and DXY reclaiming its 200-day moving average as warning signs. Additionally, three dials are worth tracking. First, the DXY trend: monitoring the 20-day and 50-day moving averages and the distance to the 200-day moving average. A breakdown below 98 with momentum confirms the dollar-weakness trade remains intact. Second, DFII10 level and 30-day change: a decline below 1. 8% signals easing conditions; a spike above 2. 2% tightens the screws. Third, daily or weekly spot-ETF net flows: sustained creations above $300 million daily suggest institutional conviction; redemptions signal macro headwinds. These dials work with a dated event calendar. The next FOMC decision on Dec. 18, CPI print on Dec. 11, payrolls on Dec. 6, and any large Treasury refunding or auction clusters that can move real yields intraday. Does a weaker dollar drive Bitcoin now? This cycle, yes. But through the real-yield channel and amplified by ETF flows, not through the inflation-hedge narrative. Bitcoin trades more like a dollar and real-yield beta than a CPI hedge. Data suggests that it is wise to keep focus on those three dials and treat correlation as a regime-switcher, not a constant. When the dollar softens and real yields decline, Bitcoin typically rallies. When the opposite occurs, risk compresses and spot demand evaporates. That’s a potential playbook for positioning into next year’s first quarter.
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