According to the latest price projections, Dogecoin’s price setup looks like a time bomb with a slow fuse. The recent break below the $0.18 level was neither manipulation nor an accidental slip; rather, it represents the final line holding DOGE back from reopening the path toward $0.12.

What’s even more concerning is the possibility that Dogecoin’s price could fall below $0.10 by the end of 2025. Prominent analyst Ali Martinez highlights that the DOGE chart currently sits inside a prolonged channel, where every rebound encounters the same wall of trapped sell supply. Unfortunately, nothing in the current market conditions suggests that investors are willing to defend this zone.

If the projection plays out as expected, the next 12 months for Dogecoin may be painful. A dip to $0.16 looks almost guaranteed this quarter, followed by a slow crawl down into the $0.14–$0.12 territory through the end of the year. By the end of 2025, the once-coveted $0.10 level might stop being just a fantasy and start appearing as the new fair value zone.

Importantly, this is not a crash setup but rather an erosion—a drawn-out decline that occurs when no one is left willing to buy the dip and the hype phase has already expired.

**DOGE History Matches the Decline Perfectly**

Every strong spring rebound in Dogecoin has ended the same way: enthusiasm fades, trading volume collapses, and the chart quietly bleeds for months afterward. Unless the market surprises with a rally to reclaim $0.18 per DOGE rapidly, the meme coin’s most probable path is down the slope it has already begun—a slow, mechanical decline ending near $0.12, where the extra zero waits to come back home.
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