Quarterly profit slide at Target hints at a challenging holiday season for the retailer

By ANNE D’INNOCENZIO NEW YORK (AP) Target’s third-quarter profit tumbled as the retailer struggles to lure shoppers that are being pressed by stubbornly high inflation. The Minneapolis company said Wednesday that it expects its sales slump to extend through the critical holiday shopping season. The company also announced that it’s planning to invest another billion dollars next year to remodel stores, build new ones, increasing the total cost for the makeover to $5 billion. Investors have punished Target’s stock recently, sending it down 43% over the past year. Shares were essentially flat in early trading Wednesday. Turning around the 19% profit slide in the most recent quarter is the latest challenge for incoming CEO Michael Fiddelke, a 20-year company veteran who is replacing CEO Brian Cornell in February. The handover arrives as the retailer tries to reverse a persistent sales malaise and to revive its reputation as the place to go for affordable but stylish products. Comparable sales those from established physical stores and online channels dipped 2. 7% in its latest three-month period. That’s worse then the 1. 9% drop in the previous quarter and the third straight quarterly decline. Target’s troubles stand in stark contrast to rival Walmart, the nation’s largest retailer, which is thriving. Walmart reports on its most recent quarterly performance Thursday. Target announced in October that it was eliminating about 1, 800 corporate positions to streamline decision-making and accelerate company initiatives. The cuts represent about 8% of Target’s corporate workforce. To pump up sales, Target is offering more than 20, 000 new items, twice as many as last year, and it has lowered prices on thousands of groceries and other essential items. “The environment around us continues to evolve, whether it’s shifting consumer demand, changing competitor dynamics, or broader macroeconomic pressures,” Fiddelke said on an earnings call Wednesday. ”But let me be clear. We are not waiting for conditions to improve. We are driving the change ourselves right now.” With about 1, 980 U. S. stores, Target has struggled to find its footing since inflation caused Americans to curtail much of their discretionary spending. At the same time, Target customers have complained of messy stores lacking the budget-priced niche that long ago earned the retailer the nickname “Tarzhay.” Consumer boycotts since late January, when Target joined rival Walmart and a number of other prominent American brands in scaling back its corporate diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives, have compounded the predicament. Other, more recent macro headwinds, are buffeting the entire retail sector. For almost a year, retailers have struggled to navigate President Donald Trump’s wide-ranging tariffs on imports and his immigration crackdown that threatened to shrink the supply of workers available to U. S. companies. The just ended 43-day federal shutdown is expected to be another drag on an economy. Government contract awards have slowed and many food aid recipients have seen their benefits interrupted, both of which can cut into consumer spending at places like Target. Fiddelke told reporters that the company saw a weaker September but he said it was “tricky for us to isolate” the different factors behind that. The retailer’s profit fell to $689 million in the three-month period ended Nov. 1, or $1. 51 per share. Adjusted per share results added up to $1. 78. That is better than the $1. 71 that Wall Street was expecting, according to a poll by FactSet, but below the $1. 85 per share the company earned in the same period last year. Sales fell 1. 5% to $25. 27 billion, just shy of analyst projections. Sales gains in food and beverages were offset by continued weakness in discretionary goods, with anxious shoppers focused increasingly on buying essentials, even during the holidays. For example, customers this year customers bought candy and costumes for Halloween, but spent less on decorations, said Rick Gomez, chief commercial officer for Target. Gomez thinks they will make similar tradeoffs during the winter holiday season. “We think the consumer will prioritize what goes under the tree versus what goes on the tree,” he said. Target also announced a partnership with OpenAI on Wednesday that will let users browse Target items through the tech company’s app ChatGPT. When customers are ready to buy, they’ll be directed to the Target app. For the fourth quarter, Target expects that comparable sales will decline by low single digits. For the full year, it now expects earnings per share to be in the $7 per share to $8 per share range, down from its earlier forecast of $7 to $9.
https://www.pressdemocrat.com/2025/11/19/target-results/

Moody’s Corp. (MCO) Stock Price Prediction: 2025, 2026, 2030

**Is Moody’s (MCO) a Good Investment? Analysts Weigh In**

Analysts are projecting that Moody’s Corporation (MCO) stock could experience a decline by 2030. However, if you’re bullish on MCO, you might consider investing in Moody’s through SoFi, which offers commission-free trades. First-time SoFi users can receive up to $1,000 in stock when they fund their account. Additionally, transferring investments to SoFi and keeping them there until December 31, 2025, earns a 1% bonus.

### Company Overview

Moody’s Corp. (MCO) has been posting strong revenue growth and rising profit margins, operating in an industry with a high barrier to entry. Its data risk analysis tools continue to attract customers, although investors should be mindful of its high valuation and the company’s dependence on debt issuance volume.

### Current Stock Snapshot

– **Market Cap:** $85.69 billion
– **Trailing P/E Ratio:** 41.00
– **Forward P/E Ratio:** 30.67
– **1-Year Return:** 6%
– **2025 Year-to-Date:** 1%

According to Benzinga, MCO holds a consensus *Outperform* rating from 20 analysts. The average price target is $534 per share, indicating moderate upside potential from current levels. The highest price target is $620, and the lowest is $390.

The three most recent analyst ratings suggest a near-term average target price of $527, translating to approximately 9% upside.

### Analyst Insights: Bull and Bear Cases

#### Bull Case
– Moody’s is a leader in the credit rating industry with high barriers to entry.
– Alongside its two top competitors, Moody’s controls 95% of the credit rating market.
– Its key business segments are growing well while also improving profit margins.
– Lower interest rates could boost bond issuance, increasing demand for Moody’s services.

#### Bear Case
– Moody’s trades at a high valuation compared to its historical median and industry peers.
– Emerging artificial intelligence technologies may disrupt Moody’s risk analysis tools and software segment.
– Macroeconomic uncertainty could reduce demand for Moody’s credit rating services.

### Stock Price Predictions

**2025**
Forecasts from CoinCodex suggest moderate price movement for MCO stock throughout the rest of 2025, likely a slight decrease from current levels. Without significant macroeconomic disruptions or tariff updates, Moody’s business appears stable, which may make holding or monitoring the stock a reasonable strategy.

**2026**
CoinCodex projects a sharp decline in MCO stock price in 2026. This drop could be influenced by developing macroeconomic headwinds and the potential impact of artificial intelligence on Moody’s risk analysis software revenue. Increased competition from free or low-cost AI-powered tools may limit future growth, putting additional pressure on Moody’s elevated price-to-earnings ratio.

**2030**
Looking further ahead, CoinCodex anticipates moderate downside risk for Moody’s by 2030. Rising interest rates could decrease demand for credit rating services, while AI advancements might erode Moody’s market share in analytics tools.

### Key Investment Considerations

Moody’s operates in a highly regulated, consolidated industry with significant entry barriers. The company, along with S&P Global and Fitch Ratings, commands approximately 95% of the credit rating market.

Its two main business segments—Moody’s Analytics and Moody’s Investors Service—are both experiencing solid revenue growth. Additionally, a low interest rate environment could foster increased bond issuance, benefiting the company.

Despite these strengths, Moody’s stock carries a rich valuation. Furthermore, emerging artificial intelligence technology poses a potential threat to Moody’s traditional business model by offering more affordable, competitive risk analysis solutions.

**Conclusion**

Moody’s Corporation presents an attractive growth profile in a competitive and regulated market. However, investors should carefully weigh the company’s high valuation and risks posed by AI disruption alongside favorable industry positioning and growth trends. Monitoring macroeconomic factors and technological developments will be key when considering MCO for your portfolio.
https://www.benzinga.com/money/moodys-corp-mco-stock-price-prediction

Bitcoin pays the price as OG whales take profits: More losses ahead?

**Key Takeaways**

**What is the main factor driving the recent sharp price decline in Bitcoin?**
Bitcoin OGs and Megawhales have been aggressively selling, offloading over 17,000 BTC and increasing the supply available for selling.

**What is Bitcoin’s short-term resistance and critical support level?**
BTC must breach the $111,513 resistance for a rebound or risk dropping below the $106,124 support level to $103,571.

Since hitting $116K a week ago, Bitcoin (BTC) has faced massive downside pressure, dropping to a low of $106K. At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $107,758, down 2.79% on the daily charts.

Amid this bearish market sentiment, long-term large holders have accelerated the downtrend by increasing the supply available for immediate selling.

### Bitcoin OGs Are Dumping

As Bitcoin struggles, three OGs have sold a combined 17,265 BTC, considerably reducing their holdings. According to Lookonchain:

– Bitcoin OG (1011short) deposited 13,000 BTC, worth $1.48 billion, onto exchanges including Kraken, Binance, Coinbase, and Hyperliquid.
– Whale Owen Gunden sold 3,265 BTC worth $364.5 million on Kraken.
– Insider whale 19D5 (Hyperunit seller) sold 1,000 BTC through Kraken and has moved a total of 2,455 BTC into Kraken and Hyperunit, reducing his holdings to 35,800 BTC.

### Megawhales Selling Intensifies

These three whales are not isolated cases. Megawhales have been aggressively selling as well. According to Checkonchain:

– On November 2nd, Megawhale balance change surged to 32.6K BTC before dropping to 23.4K BTC on November 3rd.
– In total, Megawhales deposited 56,000 BTC into exchanges, exceeding their withdrawals, which indicates intense selling pressure.

Typically, aggressive selling by Megawhales reflects a lack of market conviction as they anticipate further downside. Increased exchange deposits from this group raise the supply available for immediate selling, accelerating the risk of further price declines.

### What’s Next for BTC?

According to AMBCrypto, Bitcoin’s sharp decline amid aggressive whale selling positions it for potentially more losses. Historically, increased selling by whales has led to lower prices.

If Megawhales and OGs continue dumping, BTC could breach the critical support at $106,124 and drop further toward $103,571. Conversely, if retail investors—especially smaller holders (shrimp)—increase their accumulation pace, they could provide some support.

Such retail-driven support could position BTC for a rebound toward the $111,513 resistance level. However, this rebound largely depends on positive macroeconomic data hitting the market.

**Summary:**
Bitcoin’s recent sharp price decline is largely driven by heavy selling from OGs and Megawhales, who have offloaded over 17,000 BTC, increasing selling pressure. The key levels to watch are $111,513 on the upside and $106,124 on the downside. Continued whale selling risks pushing BTC below support, while increased retail buying could help stabilize and rebound prices if supported by favorable macroeconomic conditions.
https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/bitcoin/bitcoin-pays-the-price-as-og-whales-take-profits-more-losses-ahead/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=bitcoin-pays-the-price-as-og-whales-take-profits-more-losses-ahead

Ariel Appreciation Fund Q3 2025 Commentary

**Ariel Appreciation Fund Q3 2025 Commentary**
*By Ariel Investments*

The Ariel Appreciation Fund advanced +9.51% in the third quarter, significantly outperforming the Russell Midcap Value Index’s +6.18% gain and the +5.33% return posted by the Russell Midcap Index.

**Top Contributor**
Resideo Technologies was the top contributor in the quarter, driven by strong earnings and a subsequent raise in guidance.

**Investment Approach**
Our pro-cyclical positioning reflects bottom-up conviction in undervalued businesses rather than reliance on macroeconomic forecasts.

**Market Overview**
U.S. equities advanced meaningfully in Q3, propelled by the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of the year, robust corporate earnings growth, and broadening market participation. Investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence continued to drive outsized gains in technology, particularly among select high-performing companies.

**About Ariel Investments**
Ariel Investments, LLC is a global value-based asset management firm founded in 1983, with more than four decades of experience. Headquartered in Chicago, Ariel also has offices in New York City, San Francisco, and Sydney, Australia.

Ariel serves both individual and institutional investors through five no-load mutual funds and eleven separate account strategies.

**Our Core Values**
– Active Patience®
– Independent Thinking
– Focused Expertise
– Bold Teamwork

Ariel Investments models these values in all aspects of their operations.

For inquiries or communication, please use Ariel Investments’ official channels.

*Comments*
*Recommended For You*
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4835191-ariel-appreciation-fund-q3-2025-commentary?source=feed_all_articles