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Tag: immediate downside protection

Bitcoin Price Soars, Crosses $90,000 — LTH Still a Threat

The post Bitcoin Price Soars, Crosses $90,000 LTH Still a Threat appeared com. Bitcoin is beginning to recover from its recent decline, crossing above $90,000 for the first time in a week as market conditions slowly improve. However, despite the renewed optimism, one key group of investors continues to fuel concerns around liquidity. This lingering pressure is preventing Bitcoin from reestablishing a fully stable upward trend. Sponsored Sponsored Bitcoin Holders Could Present A Threat Liquidity trends measured through realized profit and loss provide important insight into longer-term market health. The Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Profit/Loss Ratio remains above 100x, indicating that long-term holders are still realizing profits rather than losses. This suggests liquidity remains healthier than during major bottom formations or the stressed market conditions of Q1 2022. As long as LTHs continue to realize profits, Bitcoin retains a layer of structural support. However, the picture could shift quickly. If liquidity fades and the ratio compresses toward 10x or lower, the risk of entering a deeper bear market becomes difficult to dismiss. Historically, that threshold has aligned with moments of severe stress across long-term holders. Should LTHs begin realizing losses, it would signal a deterioration in market confidence and a potential reversal in price momentum. . Recent patterns reflect clear mean reversion, suggesting that volatility sellers are returning. Even so, implied volatility remains elevated relative to actual market performance. Sponsored Sponsored Glassnode data shows that one-month implied volatility has fallen-dropping roughly 20 vol points from last week’s peak and about 10 points from recent levels-indicating that some of the stress premium is now unwinding. The decline in implied volatility, combined with easing put skew, signals reduced demand for immediate downside protection.